In
October 2009 15.1 million Americans were out of work, the unemployment rate had
reached 9.8%, a level not seen since mid-1983. Events such as this are
completely unpredictable and very costly. During unemployment spells,
consumption tends to drop significantly due to the lost of income. Although
these adverse events are difficult to predict, an economically conscious person
will be prepared to face them through saving earned income. The fact of the
matter is that the majority of people are not very economically conscious of
their well being for the future. For this reason, the government takes it upon
itself to protect those, who do not save money, from entering in to poverty as
a result of an adverse event, such as unemployment. State governments provide
unemployment insurance, for those eligible, to help smooth consumption across
the negative and positive states of the world. It is crucial for the government
to play a role in administrating social insurance because of the major
asymmetrical information that causes heavy adverse selection within the private
insurance market. With that said, too much government aid causes a moral hazard
that counters the original goals of insurance; for this reason, I believe the
government’s role in the social insurance market should exist, but very limited,
and there should be an encouragement to incentivize those who do not save to
start doing so for their own good.
First,
individuals value insurance because they would ideally like to smooth their
consumption across states of the world. Second, there are a number of reasons
why the market may fail to provide such insurance, most notably adverse
selection. Third, even if the market fails to provide such insurance, the
justification for social insurance depends on whether other private
consumption-smoothing mechanisms are available. Fourth, expanding insurance
coverage has a moral hazard cost in terms of encouraging adverse behavior.
These lessons have a clear policy implication: optimal social insurance systems
should partially, but not completely, insure individuals against adverse
events. The benefit of social insurance is the amount of consumption smoothing
provided by social insurance programs. The cost of social insurance is the
moral hazard caused by insuring against adverse events. As a result, social
product becomes inefficient and the government must raise taxes to account for
the excess, which lowers social efficiency. Thus, higher social insurance
improves social efficiency by fixing a market failure but reduces social
efficiency by reducing production and raising taxes. The resolution of this
full insurance/adverse behavior trade-off will generally be somewhere in the
middle, optimally providing some insurance against adverse events, but not full
insurance. As of now, I believe too much unemployment insurance is offered,
which is why increasing unemployment spells are so common. With that said, I do
believe the government should intervene, but only when absolutely necessary. With
a system like the UISA, the government does not intervene unless it is
absolutely needed. This program also encourages private saving and discourages
the moral hazards that come with the excess government funding.
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