Recent news has stated that Italy is no
longer in recession, as a result of a change in the way data calculations are
made in the EU to illegal economic activities such as drug trafficking,
prostitution, and alcohol and tobacco smuggling. Previously, the state of
Italy’s economy was bleak following Prime Minister Matteo Renzi’s rise to
power. Shortly after assuming the position, the Prime Minister led the country
into a downward spiral. The EU has decided to include prostitution, drug
trafficking, and other illegal forms of exchange in Italy in their calculations
due to the fact that some European countries have legalized or decriminalized
these activities, and thus to fairly compare the countries’ GDPs, all must
include them. The black market activities has helped to raise the country’s GDP
from a 0.1% decline for the first quarter to a flat reading according to the EU
reading, which has helped Italy avoid a third recession in six years. This
higher means that Italy will be entitled to less subsidies, it also has moved
the country’s debt and deficits closer to the EU’s targeted levels.
Additionally, by including black market activities in the country’s GDP,
Italy’s debt to GDP ratio will be reduced from its current level of 132%, which
is double the EU level. The finance ministry expects the country to have GDP
showing growth by the year 2015. The new data
confirmed a 0.2% decline in the second quarter, but GDP needs to contract in
two consecutive quarters to be in recession.
No comments:
Post a Comment